Hammarby IF vs Kalmar FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
11º
3º
22
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 55 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 52 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 50 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 47 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 46 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 43 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 31 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 30 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 28 |
15º
|
44.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 24 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
69% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
HIF
2 - 0
KUO
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HIF
1 - 3
GÖT
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HIF
1 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HÄC
2 - 1
HIF
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
HIF
1 - 1
MJÄ
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kalmar FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OIF
4 - 2
KAL
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
SIR
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 1
AIK
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 0
KAL
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 1
GEF
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |