Hamburger SV vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
82.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HER
3 - 0
HSV
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
HSV
1 - 1
HOF
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BVB
0 - 1
HSV
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
HSV
1 - 2
EIN
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
HSV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
BYM
8%
16%
76%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
ROM
1 - 7
BYM
12%
18%
70%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BYM
6 - 0
BRE
87%
10%
4%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BYM
4 - 0
HAN
86%
10%
4%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
CSK
0 - 1
BYM
6%
14%
79%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |