National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 5-4
FC Halifax Town vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Halifax Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
HAL
0 - 2
CAN
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
HAL
2 - 0
EBB
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CRA
2 - 2
HAL
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
YOR
0 - 2
HAL
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
HAL
1 - 1
STE
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 2
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 1
SOU
74%
16%
9%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ALT
0 - 2
GRA
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
SCA
2 - 7
GRA
22%
24%
54%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
ALD
0 - 3
GRA
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |