HNK Hajduk Split vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NKV
0 - 2
HKS
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
IST
0 - 2
HKS
13%
20%
67%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DZG
0 - 0
HKS
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
HKS
18%
23%
59%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
HKS
0 - 3
GEN
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
PUS
0 - 0
VIT
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
3 - 0
PUS
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 1
TRO
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VIT
5 - 0
GFC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 1
VIT
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |