HNK Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
3º
3º
51
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HNG
2 - 1
HKS
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
OGV
0 - 6
HKS
4%
12%
85%
|
84 | 18 | 66 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HKS
0 - 1
IST
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 2
HKS
22%
24%
55%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 2
HKS
10%
20%
70%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 0
RUD
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 1
LOK
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LOK
2 - 2
OSI
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 1
LOK
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
LOK
3 - 3
NKV
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |