HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
3º
3º
41
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 2
HKS
22%
24%
55%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 2
HKS
10%
20%
70%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 0
HKS
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HKS
3 - 0
SLA
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
HKS
0 - 0
PAO
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
IST
0 - 0
RUD
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 2
IST
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
IST
4 - 4
OSI
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
RIJ
6 - 0
IST
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
IST
0 - 3
DZG
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |