Gurupi vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
GUR
2 - 1
LON
13%
22%
65%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 3
GUR
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
GUR
0 - 0
TOC
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
INT
0 - 0
GUR
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
GUR
1 - 0
INT
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 3
RIO
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
7 - 1
AND
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
FFL
8%
17%
76%
|
30 | 71 | 41 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAU
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
REC
6 - 0
RIO
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |