Guingamp vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
DNM
0 - 0
GUI
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 2
GUI
65%
21%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
NAN
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 0
PAO
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MPL
2 - 1
GUI
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 1
BAS
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 1
MPL
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 0
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 1
NIC
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |