Guingamp vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
ARL
0 - 2
GUI
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
IST
2 - 0
GUI
27%
28%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
GUI
6 - 1
LMU
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
TOU
2 - 0
GUI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 0
CLE
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 0
TOU
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
STL
1 - 1
LEN
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 2
NÎM
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 3
GIR
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 0
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |