Guillermo Brown vs Dep. Maipú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
GBR
4 - 3
CIP
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
BRG
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
4 - 0
GBR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 0
DFR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
GBR
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Maipú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 2
RSA
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
DFR
2 - 0
MAI
29%
29%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
DES
2 - 2
MAI
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 0
GIM
59%
25%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |