Guillermo Brown vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CSE
2 - 1
GBR
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
GBR
1 - 2
CAI
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GBR
5 - 1
MAI
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAI
0 - 0
GBR
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GBR
3 - 0
ALV
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
DFR
0 - 0
RIV
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 0
DFR
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 4
DFR
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
DFR
0 - 1
JUU
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |