Guarulhos vs SKA Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+119%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
IND
24%
26%
50%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
CAT
3 - 0
GUA
51%
22%
28%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SJS
1 - 1
GUA
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SKA Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 1
CAT
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
SKA
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SKA
3 - 0
COL
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
SKA
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
SKA
63%
20%
18%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |