Guaratinguetá vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEA
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 1
GUA
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 1
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
CHA
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BOA
3 - 2
PAR
30%
29%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAL
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 0
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |