Guarany de Sobral vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ICA
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
ITA
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 1
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
GPM
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
GUA
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | -2 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 2
PAC
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
CRA
2 - 1
CRA
61%
20%
20%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 1
GPM
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 0
CRA
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 0
ITA
20%
22%
59%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |