Guarany de Bagé vs União RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
SLU
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAX
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
GUA
95%
4%
1%
|
41 | 86 | 45 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
GUA
65%
21%
15%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
URS
3 - 1
GRE
10%
21%
69%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
AIM
2 - 0
URS
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
SLU
1 - 0
URS
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
URS
2 - 1
JUV
11%
21%
69%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
YPI
3 - 1
URS
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |