Guarany de Bagé vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAX
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ECS
1 - 1
GUA
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
SCI
2%
18%
80%
|
44 | 90 | 46 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
JUV
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
NOV
89%
9%
2%
|
49 | 90 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
SLU
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
YPI
1 - 1
NOV
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
ECA
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |