Guaraní vs Sportivo Ameliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
10º
4º
27
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
VRS
0 - 14
GUA
4%
11%
85%
|
78 | 12 | 66 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
29%
28%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOT
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 3
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 2
AME
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 2
AME
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
IND
0 - 3
AME
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |