Guaraní vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
RES
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
CCP
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
DAN
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIB
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
EME
2 - 3
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 0
EME
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
EME
1 - 0
HUR
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
EME
1 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 1
EME
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |