Guaraní vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
LIB
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
JLM
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HUR
4 - 1
GUA
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DAN
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 0
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
2 - 0
EME
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 1
DAN
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DAN
4 - 0
DEP
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |