Guaraní vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
LQE
0 - 3
GUA
25%
26%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
PAL
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 1
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
COR
2 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BOL
0 - 0
RPO
87%
9%
4%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 4
BOL
14%
22%
64%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
BOL
5 - 4
STR
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
BLO
2 - 1
BOL
13%
18%
69%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 0
AUR
87%
10%
4%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |