Paulista A2 Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Guaraní vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
XVD
0 - 0
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
VOT
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 2
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 2
GUA
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
XVD
0 - 0
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
XVD
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
XVD
1 - 0
AUD
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 2
XVD
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
XVD
2 - 0
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |