Guaraní vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
OES
2 - 0
GUA
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 0
FFL
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 2
MIR
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 0
GUA
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
RBB
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
3 - 1
VIT
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 0
VIT
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAU
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ABC
0 - 0
VIT
20%
22%
59%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |