Guaraní vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
GUA
84%
12%
4%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
CMA
0 - 1
GUA
9%
16%
76%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
PPE
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
GOI
78%
16%
6%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
GOI
1 - 2
VIL
14%
23%
63%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
GIO
1 - 1
VIL
6%
15%
79%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 0
VIL
6%
18%
76%
|
69 | 26 | 43 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRA
78%
16%
6%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |