Guaraní vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
GUA
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
VAS
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
29%
28%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
PPE
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
GRE
13%
25%
62%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
CHA
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
VIL
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
FLU
15%
26%
59%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
NAU
42%
29%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |