Guaraní vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
GUA
38%
28%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
CON
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 2
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 0
LON
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 0
GUA
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 3
CSA
52%
26%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 2
VAS
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 1
COT
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
VAS
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
VAS
18%
26%
56%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |