Guaraní vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
55.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
18%
26%
56%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
INT
79%
15%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 2
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PPE
2 - 0
SAO
13%
24%
63%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 0
AGU
82%
14%
5%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |