Guaraní vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 0
GUA
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRZ
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
COT
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
REM
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PPE
0 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
LON
1 - 1
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LON
3 - 1
SAM
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
LON
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
VIT
36%
29%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 2
LON
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |