Guaraní vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
GUA
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
VEL
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 1
BAT
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
LON
2 - 1
POR
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COT
3 - 0
LON
75%
18%
7%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
LON
82%
14%
5%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LON
1 - 0
COT
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
LON
53%
23%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |