Guaraní vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
LON
3 - 1
GUA
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
CSA
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 3
OPE
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 1
ITU
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
ITU
40%
29%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 2
PPE
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
ITU
31%
29%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |