Guaraní vs Inter de Limeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
MIR
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ITU
0 - 3
GUA
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
COR
1 - 0
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
SAO
20%
26%
54%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PPE
0 - 0
INT
70%
20%
11%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 2
INT
86%
11%
3%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INT
2 - 3
POR
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
INT
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |