Guaraní vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAC
35%
26%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAD
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
RIO
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
DUQ
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAX
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |