Guaraní vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 0
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
20%
26%
55%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 2
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
INT
3 - 0
BOT
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
FER
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
79%
15%
5%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 0
BOT
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |