Guangzhou FC vs Shandong Taishan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
4 - 1
BEN
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 1
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
BEI
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 2
GUA
21%
23%
55%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 0
HAN
76%
15%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
JIA
2 - 1
SHA
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SHA
4 - 2
JIA
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 1
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 0
SHA
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
QIN
0 - 3
SHA
9%
16%
75%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |