Nantong Zhiyun vs Wuhan Three Towns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
HEN
1 - 1
GUA
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHA
10%
20%
70%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
DAL
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
TIT
1 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
MEI
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
WFC
2 - 1
MEI
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BEI
1 - 1
WFC
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SHA
3 - 1
WFC
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
WFC
2 - 1
CHA
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 3
WFC
12%
21%
68%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |