Chivas Guadalajara vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
EST
1 - 1
CHI
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CHI
3 - 0
PUM
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
ATL
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
SNL
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 2
PAC
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
VER
0 - 1
MOR
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 2
MOR
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 2
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2007 |
AME
1 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |