Guabirá Santa Cruz vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
GUA
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
ROY
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
DES
2 - 3
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
STR
5 - 0
GUA
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 3
MAC
31%
25%
45%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 2
OPE
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
RPO
2 - 2
AUR
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 3
ROY
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
REA
2 - 0
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 3
BOL
17%
22%
61%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |