Grobiņa vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
9º
6º
69
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 2
FAS
40%
22%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GRO
5 - 1
KUR
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
4 - 1
GRO
18%
19%
63%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 4
GRO
25%
20%
55%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 1
TAM
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
ROS
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
DBA
0 - 3
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
PYU
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |