Grobiņa vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
9º
6º
41
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 55 |
4º
|
98% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grobiņa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 3
BFC
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
GRO
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKJ
2 - 1
GRO
28%
25%
48%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 4
RIG
29%
24%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 2
LIE
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 3
AUD
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKT
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |