Grimsby Town vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
62.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GRI
0 - 0
SUT
34%
29%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ROC
0 - 1
GRI
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
GRI
4 - 0
CRE
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRI
1 - 1
NOR
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LEY
2 - 0
GRI
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
EVE
1 - 1
NTT
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NTT
1 - 0
WHU
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
NTT
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NTT
1 - 1
VCF
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
NOT
2 - 2
NTT
15%
24%
61%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |