Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
GDS
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GDS
2 - 0
SAO
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 1
GDS
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
GDS
1 - 1
ECN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
GDS
24%
21%
55%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 1
IND
29%
26%
45%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
MOG
79%
13%
7%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ECN
2 - 0
MOG
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 0
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
GDS
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |