Grêmio Prudente vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Prudente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 2
GRE
25%
26%
50%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
GRE
32%
26%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 2
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
USA
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DES
1 - 0
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
LEM
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 0
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |