Paulista A3 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Grêmio Prudente vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Prudente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 2
CAB
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
GRE
22%
22%
56%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
UNI
45%
24%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
3 - 2
GRE
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 3
GRE
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BER
0 - 0
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BER
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
CAB
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
BER
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
RIO
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |