Gaucho 1 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Grêmio vs Ypiranga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
2 - 1
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 0
FER
87%
9%
3%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
0 - 0
GRE
20%
26%
54%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
SCI
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 2
GRE
11%
22%
66%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
2 - 1
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
3 - 1
BRA
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YPI
0 - 0
GRE
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAX
3 - 0
YPI
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 3
YPI
14%
23%
63%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |