Grêmio vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
ATP
2 - 3
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 3
GRE
27%
26%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 1
PPE
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 1
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 2
FLA
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
CHA
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 0
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |