Grêmio vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
CHA
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 0
GRE
15%
24%
62%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
YPI
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
YPI
0 - 1
GRE
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
SCI
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
SPO
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
GUA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
VIL
52%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |