Grêmio vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
CRI
2 - 1
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 1
GRE
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 3
VAS
58%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 3
SCI
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
FLU
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 1
GOI
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |