Grêmio vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ATP
4 - 2
GRE
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
CEA
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CUI
0 - 2
AMF
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
CUI
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CUI
2 - 2
FLU
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 2
CUI
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CUI
2 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |