Grêmio vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
16%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.7%
2-0
20.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.7%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
12.3%
2.9%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
GOI
3 - 2
GRE
21%
26%
53%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRZ
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
ATP
2 - 0
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 2
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 1
SLU
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAX
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PEL
1 - 1
CAX
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAX
0 - 1
PEL
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
GAU
1 - 2
CAX
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |