Grêmio vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 2
GRE
14%
24%
62%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
BRU
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 2
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 3
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAH
68%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
AIM
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SAP
3 - 0
BRA
10%
19%
71%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 3
UHA
82%
14%
5%
|
53 | 6 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 0
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 3
FAR
74%
18%
8%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | -1 |