Grêmio Maringá vs Foz do Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2012 |
CIN
3 - 1
GEM
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
GEM
1 - 2
PAR
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 62 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
JTF
2 - 1
GEM
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
GEM
2 - 0
NPR
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Foz do Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
FOZ
6 - 1
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
FOZ
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FOZ
0 - 1
PAR
15%
19%
65%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
FOZ
1 - 0
PRU
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
FOZ
3 - 3
LON
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |